Debt Consolidation Australia

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Interest Rate Lock:
An agreement between a borrower and a lender that allows the borrower to lock in the interest rate on a mortgage for a specified time period.

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First Home Buyers at Risk of Negative Equity Under New Scheme

In a recent analysis by Eliza Owen, the head of research at Cotality, concerns have been raised about the potential financial consequences for first-home buyers under the Albanese government's new 5% deposit scheme.

This scheme, known as the First Home Guarantee, allows buyers to purchase property with just a 5% deposit, with the government covering a 15% mortgage guarantee.

Owen's insights highlight the financial impact of this initiative, particularly regarding the added cost of interest and the risk of negative equity.

Under this scheme, buyers of median-priced homes, valued at $848,858, could end up paying over $130,000 in additional interest over the life of a 30-year loan, based on a 5.5% per annum average mortgage rate. However, there is a potential upside for early market entrants, as they may benefit from reduced rental expenses. Owen highlights the substantial savings in Sydney, where the 5% deposit requirement could shorten the deposit-saving period by six years and reduce rental costs, currently averaging $801 per week, by about $251,000.

The scheme's expansion is expected to initially drive up demand, leading to a temporary rise in property prices. As Owen explains, this demand-side stimulus, coupled with interest rate decreases and constrained housing supply, could push home values to the scheme's threshold. While early participants may successfully navigate market entry hurdles, future buyers might face a more inflated market, acquiring homes with smaller deposits and enlarged mortgages.

Such dynamics raise the spectre of negative equity, particularly if house prices experience significant downturns. Past experiences in comparable markets, such as New Zealand and Canada, where house prices have fallen by more than 15% from peak levels, suggest that Australian buyers could encounter similar challenges. This scenario would not only affect individual homeowners but also the broader financial system, given the government's 15% mortgage guarantee, which could amass substantial contingent liabilities for Australian taxpayers.

Published:Thursday, 2nd Oct 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

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Finance News

Surge in Business Loan Applications Amid ATO Debt Rule Changes

09 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Australia are experiencing a significant shift in financial strategy due to impending changes in tax debt regulations by the Australian Taxation Office (ATO). Effective from July 1, general interest charges (GIC) and shortfall interest charges (SIC) on tax debts will no longer be tax-deductible. With the GIC rate currently at 11. - read more

RBA Advises Caution on Borrowing as Interest Rates Set to Fall

09 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has issued a cautionary statement to households, advising against excessive borrowing in anticipation of potential interest rate reductions. This warning aims to prevent the emergence of a boom-and-bust cycle that could destabilize the financial system. - read more

Lendela and Revive Financial Join Forces to Address Australia's Growing Debt Challenges

09 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

In response to the escalating debt crisis in Australia, Lendela, a leading loan matching platform, has announced a strategic partnership with Revive Financial, the nation's largest debt relief and management firm. This collaboration aims to empower Australians facing financial distress by offering tailored debt solutions designed to restore financial stability. - read more

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